European equities dropped following Donald Trump’s renewed threats to impose 25% tariffs on EU imports. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index, which had previously surged to record highs in January due to strong earnings, faced a sharp selloff as investors recalibrated their expectations.
Market Reactions & Sector Impact
- Volatility Spikes: Analysts note that while a slowdown in implementation was expected, markets were unprepared for an aggressive tariff announcement. The uncertainty is expected to increase volatility.
- Corporate Profit Concerns: Citigroup estimates suggest that a 10% tariff on European goods could reduce earnings per share (EPS) by 1-2%, with greater losses if tariffs reach 25%.
- Automakers & Miners Hit Hardest: European companies with U.S. exposure, especially in automobiles and raw materials, faced significant declines as investors priced in the risk of prolonged trade tensions.
- Resilience in UK Services Sector: The UK’s services exporters are relatively shielded from tariff impacts, benefiting from a trade surplus with the U.S. Analysts expect consumer spending to shift further toward services, providing a cushion for companies in this sector.
Analyst Views
- Short-Term Selloff, Long-Term Uncertainty: Some strategists view this as a “buy-the-dip” opportunity, predicting that markets may recover given strong earnings and ongoing disinflation trends. However, others warn that these tariffs could trigger a broader pullback if countermeasures from Canada, China, and Mexico escalate trade conflicts.
- No Immediate Panic: While the selloff reflects concerns over economic slowdown, some analysts believe the tariffs are a negotiating tactic rather than a long-term policy shift.
Despite the current dip, market watchers suggest that the impact of tariffs will depend on further policy developments and whether Europe responds with countermeasures
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